CCT 2026 South America Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Galorys#68 in the world · win 2:0series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:0
paiN Academy#286 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2paiN Academy ban
50%29%
Galorys · 2 mapsedge Galorys +21%paiN Academy · 3 maps
AncientpaiN Academy ban
57%50%
Galorys · 3 mapsedge Galorys +7%paiN Academy · 0 maps
MirageGalorys ban
60%67%
Galorys · 1 mapedge paiN Academy +7%paiN Academy · 2 maps
AnubispaiN Academy pick
50%50%
Galorys · 0 mapsnearly even +0%paiN Academy · 2 maps
NukeGalorys ban
40%60%
Galorys · 1 mapedge paiN Academy +20%paiN Academy · 1 map
Overpasspossible decider
40%60%
Galorys · 1 mapedge paiN Academy +20%paiN Academy · 1 map
DefaultGalorys pick
50%40%
Galorys · 0 mapsedge Galorys +10%paiN Academy · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGalorys remove Mirage
2. BanpaiN Academy remove Ancient
3. PickGalorys take Default
4. PickpaiN Academy take Anubis
5. BanpaiN Academy remove Dust2
6. BanGalorys remove Nuke
DeciderOverpass (40% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:10
Galorys 40%paiN Academy 60%
The model gave 60% on paiN Academy — the map was taken by Galorys.
Overpassprediction missed13:7
Galorys 33%paiN Academy 67%
The model gave 67% on paiN Academy — the map was taken by Galorys.
Model check result
Model favoriteGalorys · 73%
Series resultGalorys 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2