IEM Atlanta 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
GamerLegion#19 in the world · win 2:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Astralis#15 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageAstralis ban
40%67%
GamerLegion · 6 mapsedge Astralis +27%Astralis · 2 maps
InfernoGamerLegion pick
50%50%
GamerLegion · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Astralis · 2 maps
NukeGamerLegion ban
71%50%
GamerLegion · 3 mapsedge GamerLegion +21%Astralis · 2 maps
OverpassAstralis ban
50%33%
GamerLegion · 2 mapsedge GamerLegion +17%Astralis · 2 maps
AncientAstralis pick
50%60%
GamerLegion · 2 mapsedge Astralis +10%Astralis · 1 map
Dust2GamerLegion ban
50%43%
GamerLegion · 0 mapsedge GamerLegion +7%Astralis · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGamerLegion remove Dust2
2. BanAstralis remove Mirage
3. PickGamerLegion take Inferno
4. PickAstralis take Ancient
5. BanAstralis remove Overpass
6. BanGamerLegion remove Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:3
GamerLegion 27%Astralis 73%
The model gave 73% on Astralis — the map was taken by GamerLegion.
Ancientprediction missed13:8
GamerLegion 37%Astralis 63%
The model gave 63% on Astralis — the map was taken by GamerLegion.
Model check result
Model favoriteAstralis · 50%
Series resultGamerLegion 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2