IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
GamerLegion#22 in the world · win 2:0series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BIG#35 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageBIG pick
42%57%
GamerLegion · 8 mapsedge BIG +15%BIG · 3 maps
InfernoGamerLegion pick
67%60%
GamerLegion · 8 mapsedge GamerLegion +7%BIG · 1 map
AncientGamerLegion ban
56%50%
GamerLegion · 5 mapsedge GamerLegion +6%BIG · 2 maps
NukeBIG ban
67%50%
GamerLegion · 5 mapsedge GamerLegion +17%BIG · 2 maps
OverpassBIG ban
43%40%
GamerLegion · 3 mapsnearly even +3%BIG · 1 map
AnubisGamerLegion ban
50%40%
GamerLegion · 0 mapsedge GamerLegion +10%BIG · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGamerLegion remove Anubis
2. BanBIG remove Nuke
3. PickGamerLegion take Inferno
4. PickBIG take Mirage
5. BanBIG remove Overpass
6. BanGamerLegion remove Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction missed16:14
GamerLegion 50%BIG 50%
The model gave 50% on BIG — the map was taken by GamerLegion.
Ancientprediction correct13:11
GamerLegion 58%BIG 42%
The model gave 58% on GamerLegion — the map was taken by GamerLegion.
Model check result
Model favoriteGamerLegion · 77%
Series resultGamerLegion 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2