IEM Atlanta 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
GamerLegion#14 in the world · win 2:0series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Liquid#24 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientLiquid pick
60%60%
GamerLegion · 1 mapnearly even +0%Liquid · 1 map
InfernoGamerLegion pick
40%60%
GamerLegion · 1 mapedge Liquid +20%Liquid · 1 map
Dust2GamerLegion ban
50%40%
GamerLegion · 0 mapsedge GamerLegion +10%Liquid · 1 map
MirageLiquid ban
40%50%
GamerLegion · 1 mapedge Liquid +10%Liquid · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGamerLegion remove Dust2
2. BanLiquid remove Mirage
3. PickGamerLegion take Inferno
4. PickLiquid take Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:9
GamerLegion 37%Liquid 63%
The model gave 63% on Liquid — the map was taken by GamerLegion.
Nukeprediction correct13:6
GamerLegion 53%Liquid 47%
The model gave 53% on GamerLegion — the map was taken by GamerLegion.
Model check result
Model favoriteLiquid · 60%
Series resultGamerLegion 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2