RLG Tesla Cup 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
GamerLegion#27 in the world · win 2:0series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Envy#26 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientGamerLegion pick
50%45%
GamerLegion · 12 mapsedge GamerLegion +5%Envy · 7 maps
CacheEnvy ban
71%33%
GamerLegion · 10 mapsedge GamerLegion +38%Envy · 2 maps
Dust2Envy pick
42%50%
GamerLegion · 8 mapsedge Envy +8%Envy · 4 maps
Nukepossible decider
57%40%
GamerLegion · 10 mapsedge GamerLegion +17%Envy · 1 map
MirageEnvy ban
31%50%
GamerLegion · 9 mapsedge Envy +19%Envy · 0 maps
InfernoGamerLegion ban
43%67%
GamerLegion · 3 mapsedge Envy +24%Envy · 2 maps
AnubisGamerLegion ban
50%33%
GamerLegion · 0 mapsedge GamerLegion +17%Envy · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGamerLegion remove Anubis
2. BanEnvy remove Cache
3. PickGamerLegion take Ancient
4. PickEnvy take Dust2
5. BanEnvy remove Mirage
6. BanGamerLegion remove Inferno
DeciderNuke (57% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:2
GamerLegion 39%Envy 61%
The model gave 61% on Envy — the map was taken by GamerLegion.
Nukeprediction correct13:7
GamerLegion 69%Envy 31%
The model gave 69% on GamerLegion — the map was taken by GamerLegion.
Model check result
Model favoriteGamerLegion · 58%
Series resultGamerLegion 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2