Tipsport Open Cup 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
GamersLabloss 0:2series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 0:2
LPH#150 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GamersLab pick
57%60%
GamersLab · 3 mapsnearly even -3%LPH · 6 maps
AncientGamersLab ban
33%57%
GamersLab · 2 mapsedge LPH +24%LPH · 3 maps
NukeLPH ban
33%43%
GamersLab · 2 mapsedge LPH +10%LPH · 3 maps
InfernoLPH pick
40%57%
GamersLab · 1 mapedge LPH +17%LPH · 3 maps
MirageLPH ban
43%50%
GamersLab · 3 mapsedge LPH +7%LPH · 0 maps
AnubisGamersLab ban
50%60%
GamersLab · 0 mapsedge LPH +10%LPH · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGamersLab remove Anubis
2. BanLPH remove Mirage
3. PickGamersLab take Dust2
4. PickLPH take Inferno
5. BanLPH remove Nuke
6. BanGamersLab remove Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed6:13
GamersLab 50%LPH 50%
The model gave 50% on GamersLab — the map was taken by LPH.
Ancientprediction correct0:13
GamersLab 25%LPH 75%
The model gave 75% on LPH — the map was taken by LPH.
Model check result
Model favoriteLPH · 59%
Series resultLPH 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2