HyperX Retake Season 12 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Famalicão#153 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Famalicão pick
40%60%
GBC · 1 mapedge Famalicão +20%Famalicão · 1 map
AncientGBC pick
50%40%
GBC · 0 mapsedge GBC +10%Famalicão · 1 map
InfernoGBC ban
50%40%
GBC · 0 mapsedge GBC +10%Famalicão · 1 map
NukeFamalicão ban
40%50%
GBC · 1 mapedge Famalicão +10%Famalicão · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGBC remove Inferno
2. BanFamalicão remove Nuke
3. PickGBC take Ancient
4. PickFamalicão take Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct8:13
GBC 47%Famalicão 53%
The model gave 53% on Famalicão — the map was taken by Famalicão.
Mirageprediction missed7:13
GBC 53%Famalicão 47%
The model gave 53% on GBC — the map was taken by Famalicão.
Model check result
Model favoriteGBC · 58%
Series resultFamalicão 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2