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CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
GenOne#95 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BIG Academy#215 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GenOne pick
69%58%
GenOne · 28 mapsedge GenOne +11%BIG Academy · 8 maps
AncientBIG Academy pick
45%67%
GenOne · 16 mapsedge BIG Academy +22%BIG Academy · 5 maps
NukeBIG Academy ban
58%50%
GenOne · 20 mapsedge GenOne +8%BIG Academy · 0 maps
OverpassGenOne ban
36%73%
GenOne · 10 mapsedge BIG Academy +37%BIG Academy · 7 maps
InfernoBIG Academy ban
58%57%
GenOne · 8 mapsnearly even +1%BIG Academy · 3 maps
AnubisGenOne ban
58%50%
GenOne · 8 mapsedge GenOne +8%BIG Academy · 2 maps
Defaultpossible decider
33%50%
GenOne · 2 mapsedge BIG Academy +17%BIG Academy · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGenOne remove Overpass
2. BanBIG Academy remove Nuke
3. PickGenOne take Dust2
4. PickBIG Academy take Ancient
5. BanBIG Academy remove Inferno
6. BanGenOne remove Anubis
DeciderDefault (33% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction missed13:10
GenOne 16%BIG Academy 84%
The model gave 84% on BIG Academy — the map was taken by GenOne.
Dust2prediction missed11:13
GenOne 64%BIG Academy 36%
The model gave 64% on GenOne — the map was taken by BIG Academy.
Infernoprediction correct13:9
GenOne 51%BIG Academy 49%
The model gave 51% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Model check result
Model favoriteGenOne · 66%
Series resultGenOne 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3