LeonBet Masters Season 1 · BO1
result vs prediction
GenOne#95 in the world · win 1:0series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
61%43%
GenOne · 34 mapsedge GenOne +18%Giant Pandas · 3 maps
AncientGiant Pandas ban
60%43%
GenOne · 21 mapedge GenOne +17%Giant Pandas · 3 maps
InfernoGiant Pandas ban
57%50%
GenOne · 17 mapsedge GenOne +7%Giant Pandas · 0 maps
NukeGenOne ban
41%33%
GenOne · 13 mapsedge GenOne +8%Giant Pandas · 2 maps
AnubisGiant Pandas ban
86%40%
GenOne · 10 mapsedge GenOne +46%Giant Pandas · 1 map
CacheGenOne ban
36%50%
GenOne · 7 mapsedge Giant Pandas +14%Giant Pandas · 0 maps
DefaultGenOne ban
50%40%
GenOne · 0 mapsedge GenOne +10%Giant Pandas · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGenOne remove Cache
2. BanGiant Pandas remove Anubis
3. BanGenOne remove Default
4. BanGiant Pandas remove Inferno
5. BanGenOne remove Nuke
6. BanGiant Pandas remove Ancient
DeciderDust2 (61% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
GenOne 60%Giant Pandas 40%
The model gave 60% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Model check result
Model favoriteGenOne · 86%
Series resultGenOne 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1