CCT 2026 Europe Series 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
GenOne#121 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Spirit Academy#97 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GenOne pick
57%65%
GenOne · 33 mapsedge Spirit Academy +8%Spirit Academy · 13 maps
AncientSpirit Academy pick
64%67%
GenOne · 21 mapnearly even -3%Spirit Academy · 17 maps
Nukepossible decider
43%57%
GenOne · 17 mapsedge Spirit Academy +14%Spirit Academy · 19 maps
CacheGenOne ban
33%44%
GenOne · 11 mapsedge Spirit Academy +11%Spirit Academy · 14 maps
AnubisSpirit Academy ban
76%67%
GenOne · 13 mapsedge GenOne +9%Spirit Academy · 5 maps
InfernoSpirit Academy ban
60%50%
GenOne · 16 mapsedge GenOne +10%Spirit Academy · 0 maps
MirageGenOne ban
50%47%
GenOne · 0 mapsnearly even +3%Spirit Academy · 15 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGenOne remove Mirage
2. BanSpirit Academy remove Inferno
3. PickGenOne take Dust2
4. PickSpirit Academy take Ancient
5. BanSpirit Academy remove Anubis
6. BanGenOne remove Cache
DeciderNuke (43% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct13:9
GenOne 65%Spirit Academy 35%
The model gave 65% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Nukeprediction correct11:13
GenOne 34%Spirit Academy 66%
The model gave 66% on Spirit Academy — the map was taken by Spirit Academy.
Dust2prediction correct13:16
GenOne 42%Spirit Academy 58%
The model gave 58% on Spirit Academy — the map was taken by Spirit Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteGenOne · 53%
Series resultSpirit Academy 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3