CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gentle Mates#38 in the world · win 2:1series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Eternal Fire#46 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientGentle Mates pick
70%70%
Gentle Mates · 6 mapsnearly even +0%Eternal Fire · 6 maps
MirageGentle Mates ban
44%56%
Gentle Mates · 5 mapsedge Eternal Fire +12%Eternal Fire · 5 maps
Dust2Gentle Mates ban
50%55%
Gentle Mates · 0 mapsedge Eternal Fire +5%Eternal Fire · 7 maps
InfernoEternal Fire ban
55%50%
Gentle Mates · 7 mapsedge Gentle Mates +5%Eternal Fire · 0 maps
Anubispossible decider
50%50%
Gentle Mates · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Eternal Fire · 4 maps
NukeEternal Fire ban
44%50%
Gentle Mates · 5 mapsedge Eternal Fire +6%Eternal Fire · 0 maps
OverpassEternal Fire pick
50%60%
Gentle Mates · 2 mapsedge Eternal Fire +10%Eternal Fire · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGentle Mates remove Dust2
2. BanEternal Fire remove Inferno
3. PickGentle Mates take Ancient
4. PickEternal Fire take Overpass
5. BanEternal Fire remove Nuke
6. BanGentle Mates remove Mirage
DeciderAnubis (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction missed19:16
Gentle Mates 37%Eternal Fire 63%
The model gave 63% on Eternal Fire — the map was taken by Gentle Mates.
Nukeprediction correct9:13
Gentle Mates 47%Eternal Fire 53%
The model gave 53% on Eternal Fire — the map was taken by Eternal Fire.
Anubisprediction correct13:9
Gentle Mates 50%Eternal Fire 50%
The model gave 50% on Gentle Mates — the map was taken by Gentle Mates.
Model check result
Model favoriteGentle Mates · 69%
Series resultGentle Mates 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3