CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gentle Mates#38 in the world · win 2:0series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
KOLESIE#117 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeKOLESIE pick
36%67%
Gentle Mates · 10 mapsedge KOLESIE +31%KOLESIE · 14 maps
MirageGentle Mates ban
58%67%
Gentle Mates · 8 mapsedge KOLESIE +9%KOLESIE · 11 maps
AncientGentle Mates pick
67%54%
Gentle Mates · 8 mapsedge Gentle Mates +13%KOLESIE · 9 maps
Overpasspossible decider
57%57%
Gentle Mates · 3 mapsnearly even +0%KOLESIE · 10 maps
AnubisKOLESIE ban
50%50%
Gentle Mates · 4 mapsnearly even +0%KOLESIE · 8 maps
Dust2Gentle Mates ban
50%27%
Gentle Mates · 0 mapsedge Gentle Mates +23%KOLESIE · 11 maps
InfernoKOLESIE ban
60%50%
Gentle Mates · 11 mapsedge Gentle Mates +10%KOLESIE · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGentle Mates remove Dust2
2. BanKOLESIE remove Inferno
3. PickGentle Mates take Ancient
4. PickKOLESIE take Nuke
5. BanKOLESIE remove Anubis
6. BanGentle Mates remove Mirage
DeciderOverpass (57% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct16:14
Gentle Mates 66%KOLESIE 34%
The model gave 66% on Gentle Mates — the map was taken by Gentle Mates.
Nukeprediction missed13:9
Gentle Mates 20%KOLESIE 80%
The model gave 80% on KOLESIE — the map was taken by Gentle Mates.
Model check result
Model favoriteGentle Mates · 64%
Series resultGentle Mates 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2