CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 2:0
EAC#76 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageEAC pick
33%53%
Gothic · 2 mapsedge EAC +20%EAC · 26 maps
Ancientpossible decider
50%59%
Gothic · 4 mapsedge EAC +9%EAC · 18 maps
AnubisGothic pick
50%47%
Gothic · 4 mapsnearly even +3%EAC · 15 maps
NukeGothic ban
50%53%
Gothic · 0 mapsnearly even -3%EAC · 13 maps
CacheEAC ban
50%63%
Gothic · 0 mapsedge EAC +13%EAC · 12 maps
InfernoEAC ban
60%33%
Gothic · 1 mapedge Gothic +27%EAC · 11 maps
DefaultGothic ban
50%50%
Gothic · 0 mapsnearly even +0%EAC · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGothic remove Nuke
2. BanEAC remove Inferno
3. PickGothic take Anubis
4. PickEAC take Mirage
5. BanEAC remove Cache
6. BanGothic remove Default
DeciderAncient (50% / 59%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct13:9
Gothic 56%EAC 44%
The model gave 56% on Gothic — the map was taken by Gothic.
Mirageprediction missed13:6
Gothic 28%EAC 72%
The model gave 72% on EAC — the map was taken by Gothic.
Model check result
Model favoriteEAC · 69%
Series resultGothic 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2