ANZC Locals Brisbane 2026 Season 2 · BO1
result vs prediction
Ground Zero#139 in the world · win 13:7series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 13:7
Abyssal#165 in the world · loss 7:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
45%67%
Ground Zero · 16 mapsedge Abyssal +22%Abyssal · 8 maps
InfernoAbyssal ban
67%33%
Ground Zero · 11 mapsedge Ground Zero +34%Abyssal · 8 maps
NukeAbyssal ban
80%30%
Ground Zero · 11 mapsedge Ground Zero +50%Abyssal · 6 maps
MirageGround Zero ban
50%79%
Ground Zero · 2 mapsedge Abyssal +29%Abyssal · 10 maps
AnubisAbyssal ban
50%40%
Ground Zero · 10 mapsedge Ground Zero +10%Abyssal · 1 map
AncientGround Zero ban
50%63%
Ground Zero · 4 mapsedge Abyssal +13%Abyssal · 4 maps
CacheGround Zero ban
50%67%
Ground Zero · 0 mapsedge Abyssal +17%Abyssal · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGround Zero remove Cache
2. BanAbyssal remove Anubis
3. BanGround Zero remove Mirage
4. BanAbyssal remove Nuke
5. BanGround Zero remove Ancient
6. BanAbyssal remove Inferno
DeciderDust2 (45% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:7
Ground Zero 38%Abyssal 62%
The model gave 63% on Abyssal — the map was taken by Ground Zero.
Model check result
Model favoriteGround Zero · 71%
Series resultGround Zero 13:7
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1