ANZC Locals Brisbane 2026 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Ground Zero#139 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Abyssal#165 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
45%69%
Ground Zero · 16 mapsedge Abyssal +24%Abyssal · 9 maps
InfernoAbyssal ban
63%38%
Ground Zero · 12 mapsedge Ground Zero +25%Abyssal · 9 maps
NukeGround Zero pick
80%30%
Ground Zero · 11 mapsedge Ground Zero +50%Abyssal · 6 maps
AnubisAbyssal ban
47%40%
Ground Zero · 11 mapsedge Ground Zero +7%Abyssal · 1 map
MirageAbyssal pick
50%79%
Ground Zero · 2 mapsedge Abyssal +29%Abyssal · 10 maps
AncientGround Zero ban
56%56%
Ground Zero · 5 mapsnearly even +0%Abyssal · 5 maps
CacheGround Zero ban
50%67%
Ground Zero · 0 mapsedge Abyssal +17%Abyssal · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGround Zero remove Cache
2. BanAbyssal remove Anubis
3. PickGround Zero take Nuke
4. PickAbyssal take Mirage
5. BanAbyssal remove Inferno
6. BanGround Zero remove Ancient
DeciderDust2 (45% / 69%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed8:13
Ground Zero 70%Abyssal 30%
The model gave 70% on Ground Zero — the map was taken by Abyssal.
Nukeprediction missed7:13
Ground Zero 91%Abyssal 9%
The model gave 91% on Ground Zero — the map was taken by Abyssal.
Model check result
Model favoriteGround Zero · 73%
Series resultAbyssal 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2