CCT 2026 South America Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
GUARA#234 in the world · win 1:0series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GUARA ban
25%50%
GUARA · 8 mapsedge ex-KRÜ +25%ex-KRÜ · 6 maps
Nukeex-KRÜ pick
25%67%
GUARA · 8 mapsedge ex-KRÜ +42%ex-KRÜ · 5 maps
InfernoGUARA ban
22%29%
GUARA · 5 mapsedge ex-KRÜ +7%ex-KRÜ · 3 maps
Miragepossible decider
44%43%
GUARA · 5 mapsnearly even +1%ex-KRÜ · 3 maps
Defaultex-KRÜ ban
67%22%
GUARA · 2 mapsedge GUARA +45%ex-KRÜ · 5 maps
Ancientex-KRÜ ban
33%43%
GUARA · 2 mapsedge ex-KRÜ +10%ex-KRÜ · 3 maps
CacheGUARA pick
60%50%
GUARA · 1 mapedge GUARA +10%ex-KRÜ · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGUARA remove Dust2
2. Banex-KRÜ remove Default
3. PickGUARA take Cache
4. Pickex-KRÜ take Nuke
5. Banex-KRÜ remove Ancient
6. BanGUARA remove Inferno
DeciderMirage (44% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
GUARA 88%ex-KRÜ 12%
The model gave 88% on GUARA — the map was taken by GUARA.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-KRÜ · 63%
Series resultGUARA 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1