CCT 2026 South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
GUARA#227 in the world · win 1:0series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Vasco#133 in the world · loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GUARA ban
33%50%
GUARA · 2 mapsedge Vasco +17%Vasco · 2 maps
InfernoVasco pick
40%43%
GUARA · 1 mapnearly even -3%Vasco · 3 maps
DefaultGUARA pick
60%33%
GUARA · 1 mapedge GUARA +27%Vasco · 2 maps
MirageVasco ban
50%33%
GUARA · 0 mapsedge GUARA +17%Vasco · 2 maps
NukeVasco ban
40%50%
GUARA · 1 mapedge Vasco +10%Vasco · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGUARA remove Dust2
2. BanVasco remove Nuke
3. PickGUARA take Default
4. PickVasco take Inferno
5. BanVasco remove Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
GUARA 75%Vasco 25%
The model gave 75% on GUARA — the map was taken by GUARA.
Model check result
Model favoriteVasco · 62%
Series resultGUARA 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1