Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 1:2
EAC#76 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeHashiras pick
46%44%
Hashiras · 9 mapsnearly even +2%EAC · 5 maps
Dust2EAC ban
55%50%
Hashiras · 7 mapsedge Hashiras +5%EAC · 0 maps
OverpassEAC pick
33%56%
Hashiras · 2 mapsedge EAC +23%EAC · 5 maps
AncientHashiras ban
40%29%
Hashiras · 1 mapedge Hashiras +11%EAC · 3 maps
AnubisEAC ban
63%50%
Hashiras · 4 mapsedge Hashiras +13%EAC · 0 maps
Infernopossible decider
33%50%
Hashiras · 2 mapsedge EAC +17%EAC · 0 maps
MirageHashiras ban
50%33%
Hashiras · 0 mapsedge Hashiras +17%EAC · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHashiras remove Mirage
2. BanEAC remove Dust2
3. PickHashiras take Nuke
4. PickEAC take Overpass
5. BanEAC remove Anubis
6. BanHashiras remove Ancient
DeciderInferno (33% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:8
Hashiras 55%EAC 45%
The model gave 55% on Hashiras — the map was taken by Hashiras.
Overpassprediction correct9:13
Hashiras 26%EAC 74%
The model gave 74% on EAC — the map was taken by EAC.
Ancientprediction missed5:13
Hashiras 63%EAC 37%
The model gave 63% on Hashiras — the map was taken by EAC.
Model check result
Model favoriteEAC · 71%
Series resultEAC 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3