CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Misa#115 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeHashiras pick
50%43%
Hashiras · 10 mapsedge Hashiras +7%Misa · 3 maps
Dust2Misa pick
58%63%
Hashiras · 8 mapsedge Misa +5%Misa · 4 maps
AnubisMisa ban
63%38%
Hashiras · 4 mapsedge Hashiras +25%Misa · 4 maps
Infernopossible decider
43%57%
Hashiras · 3 mapsedge Misa +14%Misa · 3 maps
MirageHashiras ban
50%44%
Hashiras · 0 mapsedge Hashiras +6%Misa · 5 maps
OverpassHashiras ban
29%33%
Hashiras · 3 mapsnearly even -4%Misa · 2 maps
AncientMisa ban
33%50%
Hashiras · 2 mapsedge Misa +17%Misa · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHashiras remove Mirage
2. BanMisa remove Ancient
3. PickHashiras take Nuke
4. PickMisa take Dust2
5. BanMisa remove Anubis
6. BanHashiras remove Overpass
DeciderInferno (43% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed2:13
Hashiras 60%Misa 40%
The model gave 60% on Hashiras — the map was taken by Misa.
Dust2prediction correct5:13
Hashiras 43%Misa 57%
The model gave 57% on Misa — the map was taken by Misa.
Model check result
Model favoriteHashiras · 56%
Series resultMisa 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2