CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Vexar#141 in the world · loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeVexar ban
44%50%
Hashiras · 5 mapsedge Vexar +6%Vexar · 0 maps
Dust2Vexar ban
63%50%
Hashiras · 4 mapsedge Hashiras +13%Vexar · 0 maps
AnubisHashiras pick
57%50%
Hashiras · 3 mapsedge Hashiras +7%Vexar · 0 maps
InfernoVexar pick
33%50%
Hashiras · 2 mapsedge Vexar +17%Vexar · 0 maps
AncientHashiras ban
40%50%
Hashiras · 1 mapedge Vexar +10%Vexar · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHashiras remove Ancient
2. BanVexar remove Dust2
3. PickHashiras take Anubis
4. PickVexar take Inferno
5. BanVexar remove Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
Hashiras 50%Vexar 50%
The model gave 50% on Hashiras — the map was taken by Hashiras.
Model check result
Model favoriteHashiras · 56%
Series resultHashiras 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1