Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Haunted House#236 in the world · win 2:0series probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 2:0
THUNDER dOWNUNDER#128 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisTHUNDER dOWNUNDER pick
50%75%
Haunted House · 0 mapsedge THUNDER dOWNUNDER +25%THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 4 maps
Ancientpossible decider
40%60%
Haunted House · 1 mapedge THUNDER dOWNUNDER +20%THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 1 map
NukeHaunted House pick
40%60%
Haunted House · 1 mapedge THUNDER dOWNUNDER +20%THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 1 map
DefaultTHUNDER dOWNUNDER ban
40%50%
Haunted House · 1 mapedge THUNDER dOWNUNDER +10%THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 0 maps
Dust2THUNDER dOWNUNDER ban
50%60%
Haunted House · 0 mapsedge THUNDER dOWNUNDER +10%THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 1 map
InfernoHaunted House ban
50%60%
Haunted House · 0 mapsedge THUNDER dOWNUNDER +10%THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 1 map
OverpassHaunted House ban
50%40%
Haunted House · 0 mapsedge Haunted House +10%THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHaunted House remove Inferno
2. BanTHUNDER dOWNUNDER remove Default
3. PickHaunted House take Nuke
4. PickTHUNDER dOWNUNDER take Anubis
5. BanTHUNDER dOWNUNDER remove Dust2
6. BanHaunted House remove Overpass
DeciderAncient (40% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:10
Haunted House 43%THUNDER dOWNUNDER 57%
The model gave 57% on THUNDER dOWNUNDER — the map was taken by Haunted House.
Anubisprediction missed13:10
Haunted House 23%THUNDER dOWNUNDER 77%
The model gave 77% on THUNDER dOWNUNDER — the map was taken by Haunted House.
Model check result
Model favoriteTHUNDER dOWNUNDER · 73%
Series resultHaunted House 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2