Elisa BreakOut Series 2 · BO1
pre-match prediction
HAVU#107 in the worldseries probability
52%48%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
ROUNDS#231 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeROUNDS ban
75%38%
HAVU · 16 mapsedge HAVU +37%ROUNDS · 9 maps
MirageROUNDS ban
56%17%
HAVU · 14 mapsedge HAVU +39%ROUNDS · 8 maps
Dust2ROUNDS ban
36%29%
HAVU · 10 mapsedge HAVU +7%ROUNDS · 3 maps
AncientHAVU ban
40%50%
HAVU · 6 mapsedge ROUNDS +10%ROUNDS · 6 maps
InfernoHAVU ban
40%57%
HAVU · 6 mapsedge ROUNDS +17%ROUNDS · 3 maps
CacheHAVU ban
33%33%
HAVU · 5 mapsnearly even +0%ROUNDS · 2 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%78%
HAVU · 2 mapsedge ROUNDS +28%ROUNDS · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHAVU remove Cache
2. BanROUNDS remove Dust2
3. BanHAVU remove Ancient
4. BanROUNDS remove Mirage
5. BanHAVU remove Inferno
6. BanROUNDS remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (50% / 78%)