CCT 2026 South America Series 1 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Crashers#174 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Crashers pick
50%50%
HereWeGoAgain · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Crashers · 2 maps
InfernoCrashers ban
50%33%
HereWeGoAgain · 0 mapsedge HereWeGoAgain +17%Crashers · 2 maps
AncientHereWeGoAgain pick
50%40%
HereWeGoAgain · 0 mapsedge HereWeGoAgain +10%Crashers · 1 map
DefaultHereWeGoAgain ban
40%50%
HereWeGoAgain · 1 mapedge Crashers +10%Crashers · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHereWeGoAgain remove Default
2. BanCrashers remove Inferno
3. PickHereWeGoAgain take Ancient
4. PickCrashers take Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
HereWeGoAgain 40%Crashers 60%
The model gave 60% on Crashers — the map was taken by Crashers.
Model check result
Model favoriteCrashers · 58%
Series resultCrashers 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1