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CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
HEROIC Academy#100 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:1
aAa#132 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2aAa pick
22%27%
HEROIC Academy · 5 mapsedge aAa +5%aAa · 7 maps
AncientHEROIC Academy pick
44%22%
HEROIC Academy · 5 mapsedge HEROIC Academy +22%aAa · 5 maps
MirageaAa ban
42%50%
HEROIC Academy · 8 mapsedge aAa +8%aAa · 0 maps
AnubisHEROIC Academy ban
40%60%
HEROIC Academy · 6 mapsedge aAa +20%aAa · 1 map
NukeHEROIC Academy ban
29%29%
HEROIC Academy · 3 mapsnearly even +0%aAa · 3 maps
Infernopossible decider
33%33%
HEROIC Academy · 2 mapsnearly even +0%aAa · 2 maps
OverpassaAa ban
50%33%
HEROIC Academy · 2 mapsedge HEROIC Academy +17%aAa · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHEROIC Academy remove Nuke
2. BanaAa remove Mirage
3. PickHEROIC Academy take Ancient
4. PickaAa take Dust2
5. BanaAa remove Overpass
6. BanHEROIC Academy remove Anubis
DeciderInferno (33% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:2
HEROIC Academy 76%aAa 24%
The model gave 76% on HEROIC Academy — the map was taken by HEROIC Academy.
Dust2prediction correct8:13
HEROIC Academy 40%aAa 60%
The model gave 60% on aAa — the map was taken by aAa.
Infernoprediction correct13:9
HEROIC Academy 50%aAa 50%
The model gave 50% on HEROIC Academy — the map was taken by HEROIC Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteHEROIC Academy · 53%
Series resultHEROIC Academy 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3