Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
HEROIC#26 in the world · win 2:1series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:1
9INE#80 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Nuke9INE pick
43%70%
HEROIC · 10 mapsedge 9INE +27%9INE · 6 maps
Dust2HEROIC pick
57%38%
HEROIC · 10 mapsedge HEROIC +19%9INE · 4 maps
Inferno9INE ban
50%67%
HEROIC · 10 mapsedge 9INE +17%9INE · 2 maps
Ancientpossible decider
67%38%
HEROIC · 5 mapsedge HEROIC +29%9INE · 4 maps
Mirage9INE ban
50%60%
HEROIC · 8 mapsedge 9INE +10%9INE · 1 map
CacheHEROIC ban
29%33%
HEROIC · 3 mapsnearly even -4%9INE · 2 maps
AnubisHEROIC ban
50%43%
HEROIC · 0 mapsedge HEROIC +7%9INE · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHEROIC remove Anubis
2. Ban9INE remove Mirage
3. PickHEROIC take Dust2
4. Pick9INE take Nuke
5. Ban9INE remove Inferno
6. BanHEROIC remove Cache
DeciderAncient (67% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed10:13
HEROIC 75%9INE 25%
The model gave 75% on HEROIC — the map was taken by 9INE.
Mirageprediction missed13:3
HEROIC 43%9INE 57%
The model gave 57% on 9INE — the map was taken by HEROIC.
Nukeprediction missed13:6
HEROIC 24%9INE 76%
The model gave 76% on 9INE — the map was taken by HEROIC.
Model check result
Model favoriteHEROIC · 61%
Series resultHEROIC 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 3