PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Open Qualifier 2 · BO1
result vs prediction
HEROIC#25 in the world · win 13:4series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 13:4
EAC#67 in the world · loss 4:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientHEROIC ban
64%57%
HEROIC · 10 mapsedge HEROIC +7%EAC · 19 maps
Miragepossible decider
70%54%
HEROIC · 6 mapsedge HEROIC +16%EAC · 22 maps
InfernoEAC ban
71%33%
HEROIC · 10 mapsedge HEROIC +38%EAC · 8 maps
NukeEAC ban
55%40%
HEROIC · 7 mapsedge HEROIC +15%EAC · 11 maps
CacheHEROIC ban
40%57%
HEROIC · 6 mapsedge EAC +17%EAC · 10 maps
AnubisHEROIC ban
50%53%
HEROIC · 0 mapsnearly even -3%EAC · 13 maps
Dust2EAC ban
64%40%
HEROIC · 10 mapsedge HEROIC +24%EAC · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHEROIC remove Anubis
2. BanEAC remove Dust2
3. BanHEROIC remove Cache
4. BanEAC remove Inferno
5. BanHEROIC remove Ancient
6. BanEAC remove Nuke
DeciderMirage (70% / 54%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:4
HEROIC 64%EAC 36%
The model gave 64% on HEROIC — the map was taken by HEROIC.
Model check result
Model favoriteHEROIC · 66%
Series resultHEROIC 13:4
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1