Stake Pulse Beat III · BO3
pre-match prediction
HEROIC#26 in the worldseries probability
65%35%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
EnvyBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2HEROIC pick
62%50%
HEROIC · 17 mapsedge HEROIC +12%Envy · 0 maps
AncientHEROIC ban
63%50%
HEROIC · 15 mapsedge HEROIC +13%Envy · 0 maps
InfernoEnvy ban
72%50%
HEROIC · 14 mapsedge HEROIC +22%Envy · 0 maps
MirageEnvy ban
69%50%
HEROIC · 12 mapsedge HEROIC +19%Envy · 0 maps
CacheHEROIC ban
53%50%
HEROIC · 11 mapsnearly even +3%Envy · 0 maps
Nukepossible decider
64%50%
HEROIC · 10 mapsedge HEROIC +14%Envy · 0 maps
DefaultEnvy pick
60%50%
HEROIC · 1 mapedge HEROIC +10%Envy · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHEROIC remove Cache
2. BanEnvy remove Inferno
3. PickHEROIC take Dust2
4. PickEnvy take Default
5. BanEnvy remove Mirage
6. BanHEROIC remove Ancient
DeciderNuke (64% / 50%)