CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Honvéd#144 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Bushido Wildcats#82 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Bushido Wildcats pick
52%77%
Honvéd · 38 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +25%Bushido Wildcats · 39 maps
MirageHonvéd pick
49%56%
Honvéd · 31 mapedge Bushido Wildcats +7%Bushido Wildcats · 30 maps
NukeHonvéd ban
56%52%
Honvéd · 5 mapsnearly even +4%Bushido Wildcats · 27 maps
CacheBushido Wildcats ban
40%56%
Honvéd · 11 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +16%Bushido Wildcats · 14 maps
InfernoBushido Wildcats ban
35%38%
Honvéd · 16 mapsnearly even -3%Bushido Wildcats · 9 maps
AnubisHonvéd ban
45%50%
Honvéd · 7 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +5%Bushido Wildcats · 12 maps
Defaultpossible decider
56%75%
Honvéd · 14 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +19%Bushido Wildcats · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHonvéd remove Anubis
2. BanBushido Wildcats remove Inferno
3. PickHonvéd take Mirage
4. PickBushido Wildcats take Dust2
5. BanBushido Wildcats remove Cache
6. BanHonvéd remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (56% / 75%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct6:13
Honvéd 40%Bushido Wildcats 60%
The model gave 60% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Bushido Wildcats.
Infernoprediction missed13:10
Honvéd 49%Bushido Wildcats 51%
The model gave 51% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Honvéd.
Dust2prediction correct4:13
Honvéd 25%Bushido Wildcats 75%
The model gave 75% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Bushido Wildcats.
Model check result
Model favoriteBushido Wildcats · 68%
Series resultBushido Wildcats 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3