CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Honvéd#144 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 1:2
ENCE#112 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragepossible decider
50%53%
Honvéd · 30 mapsnearly even -3%ENCE · 15 maps
Dust2Honvéd pick
54%57%
Honvéd · 37 mapsnearly even -3%ENCE · 3 maps
InfernoHonvéd ban
32%67%
Honvéd · 15 mapsedge ENCE +35%ENCE · 8 maps
AncientENCE ban
53%22%
Honvéd · 15 mapsedge Honvéd +31%ENCE · 5 maps
CacheENCE ban
40%50%
Honvéd · 11 mapsedge ENCE +10%ENCE · 8 maps
AnubisHonvéd ban
45%50%
Honvéd · 7 mapsedge ENCE +5%ENCE · 8 maps
NukeENCE pick
56%43%
Honvéd · 5 mapsedge Honvéd +13%ENCE · 10 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHonvéd remove Inferno
2. BanENCE remove Ancient
3. PickHonvéd take Dust2
4. PickENCE take Nuke
5. BanENCE remove Cache
6. BanHonvéd remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (50% / 53%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct14:16
Honvéd 49%ENCE 51%
The model gave 51% on ENCE — the map was taken by ENCE.
Infernoprediction missed13:9
Honvéd 17%ENCE 83%
The model gave 83% on ENCE — the map was taken by Honvéd.
Mirageprediction correct5:13
Honvéd 47%ENCE 53%
The model gave 53% on ENCE — the map was taken by ENCE.
Model check result
Model favoriteENCE · 61%
Series resultENCE 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3