GLuck Moscow Cyber Games 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
HOTU#41 in the world · win 2:1series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:1
CYBERSHOKE Prospects#140 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2HOTU pick
62%60%
HOTU · 17 mapsnearly even +2%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 11 maps
AncientCYBERSHOKE Prospects pick
67%60%
HOTU · 11 mapsedge HOTU +7%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 11 maps
NukeCYBERSHOKE Prospects ban
75%40%
HOTU · 8 mapsedge HOTU +35%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 6 maps
Anubispossible decider
73%67%
HOTU · 7 mapsedge HOTU +6%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 5 maps
MirageHOTU ban
55%56%
HOTU · 7 mapsnearly even -1%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 5 maps
CacheCYBERSHOKE Prospects ban
53%50%
HOTU · 11 mapsnearly even +3%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 0 maps
InfernoHOTU ban
50%50%
HOTU · 0 mapsnearly even +0%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHOTU remove Inferno
2. BanCYBERSHOKE Prospects remove Nuke
3. PickHOTU take Dust2
4. PickCYBERSHOKE Prospects take Ancient
5. BanCYBERSHOKE Prospects remove Cache
6. BanHOTU remove Mirage
DeciderAnubis (73% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed9:13
HOTU 54%CYBERSHOKE Prospects 46%
The model gave 54% on HOTU — the map was taken by CYBERSHOKE Prospects.
Nukeprediction correct13:8
HOTU 84%CYBERSHOKE Prospects 16%
The model gave 84% on HOTU — the map was taken by HOTU.
Dust2prediction correct13:9
HOTU 52%CYBERSHOKE Prospects 48%
The model gave 52% on HOTU — the map was taken by HOTU.
Model check result
Model favoriteHOTU · 70%
Series resultHOTU 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3