Stake Pulse Beat III · BO3
live · recalculated in real time
HOTU#41 in the worldseries probability now
81%19%
was 42% pre-match
fnatic#36 in the worldIn live mode the model factors in the current map and round score, team winrate on the maps being played and form. The probability is recalculated as the match unfolds.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Cachefnatic pick
61%80%
HOTU · 24 mapsedge fnatic +19%fnatic · 16 maps
AncientHOTU ban
56%65%
HOTU · 14 mapsedge fnatic +9%fnatic · 16 maps
Dust2HOTU pick
64%42%
HOTU · 21 mapedge HOTU +22%fnatic · 8 maps
Anubispossible decider
59%71%
HOTU · 18 mapsedge fnatic +12%fnatic · 10 maps
Miragefnatic ban
63%40%
HOTU · 12 mapsedge HOTU +23%fnatic · 11 maps
InfernoHOTU ban
40%60%
HOTU · 1 mapedge fnatic +20%fnatic · 11 maps
Nukefnatic ban
63%50%
HOTU · 12 mapsedge HOTU +13%fnatic · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHOTU remove Inferno
2. Banfnatic remove Nuke
3. PickHOTU take Dust2
4. Pickfnatic take Cache
5. Banfnatic remove Mirage
6. BanHOTU remove Ancient
DeciderAnubis (59% / 71%)
Probability by map
For each map in the series — win chance factoring in the round score and historical map winrate over 3 months. Played maps are locked, the current one is recalculated by the score.
Ancientfinished · fnatic pick13:10
HOTU won — 100%
Dust2not played · HOTU pick— : —
HOTU 74%fnatic 26%
Historical winrate over 3 months: HOTU 64% (21 maps) vs 42% (8 maps) for fnatic.
Cachenot played · decider— : —
HOTU 28%fnatic 72%
Historical winrate over 3 months: HOTU 61% (24 maps) vs 80% (16 maps) for fnatic.