CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
HOTU#41 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 0:2
GenOne#95 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GenOne pick
62%69%
HOTU · 9 mapsedge GenOne +7%GenOne · 35 maps
NukeHOTU pick
73%62%
HOTU · 7 mapsedge HOTU +11%GenOne · 25 maps
AncientGenOne ban
60%46%
HOTU · 6 mapsedge HOTU +14%GenOne · 20 maps
OverpassGenOne ban
33%33%
HOTU · 2 mapsnearly even +0%GenOne · 14 maps
Anubispossible decider
60%57%
HOTU · 1 mapnearly even +3%GenOne · 10 maps
InfernoHOTU ban
50%62%
HOTU · 0 mapsedge GenOne +12%GenOne · 9 maps
DefaultHOTU ban
50%33%
HOTU · 0 mapsedge HOTU +17%GenOne · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHOTU remove Inferno
2. BanGenOne remove Overpass
3. PickHOTU take Nuke
4. PickGenOne take Dust2
5. BanGenOne remove Ancient
6. BanHOTU remove Default
DeciderAnubis (60% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct4:13
HOTU 39%GenOne 61%
The model gave 61% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Overpassprediction missed5:13
HOTU 53%GenOne 47%
The model gave 53% on HOTU — the map was taken by GenOne.
Model check result
Model favoriteHOTU · 57%
Series resultGenOne 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2