CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
HOTU#33 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Walczaki#44 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
DefaultHOTU ban
50%50%
HOTU · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Walczaki · 2 maps
AncientHOTU pick
60%50%
HOTU · 1 mapedge HOTU +10%Walczaki · 0 maps
Dust2Walczaki ban
60%50%
HOTU · 1 mapedge HOTU +10%Walczaki · 0 maps
NukeWalczaki pick
40%50%
HOTU · 1 mapedge Walczaki +10%Walczaki · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHOTU remove Default
2. BanWalczaki remove Dust2
3. PickHOTU take Ancient
4. PickWalczaki take Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed10:13
HOTU 63%Walczaki 37%
The model gave 63% on HOTU — the map was taken by Walczaki.
Nukeprediction missed13:8
HOTU 37%Walczaki 63%
The model gave 63% on Walczaki — the map was taken by HOTU.
Ancientprediction missed6:13
HOTU 60%Walczaki 40%
The model gave 60% on HOTU — the map was taken by Walczaki.
Model check result
Model favoriteHOTU · 55%
Series resultWalczaki 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3