CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
HOTU#41 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Walczaki#149 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeWalczaki pick
40%72%
HOTU · 1 mapedge Walczaki +32%Walczaki · 14 maps
Ancientpossible decider
60%69%
HOTU · 1 mapedge Walczaki +9%Walczaki · 9 maps
AnubisHOTU ban
50%75%
HOTU · 0 mapsedge Walczaki +25%Walczaki · 8 maps
DefaultHOTU pick
50%56%
HOTU · 0 mapsedge Walczaki +6%Walczaki · 5 maps
Dust2Walczaki ban
60%63%
HOTU · 1 mapnearly even -3%Walczaki · 4 maps
InfernoHOTU ban
50%56%
HOTU · 0 mapsedge Walczaki +6%Walczaki · 5 maps
MirageWalczaki ban
50%67%
HOTU · 0 mapsedge Walczaki +17%Walczaki · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHOTU remove Inferno
2. BanWalczaki remove Dust2
3. PickHOTU take Default
4. PickWalczaki take Nuke
5. BanWalczaki remove Mirage
6. BanHOTU remove Anubis
DeciderAncient (60% / 69%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed10:13
HOTU 50%Walczaki 50%
The model gave 50% on HOTU — the map was taken by Walczaki.
Nukeprediction missed13:8
HOTU 19%Walczaki 81%
The model gave 81% on Walczaki — the map was taken by HOTU.
Ancientprediction correct6:13
HOTU 40%Walczaki 60%
The model gave 60% on Walczaki — the map was taken by Walczaki.
Model check result
Model favoriteHOTU · 56%
Series resultWalczaki 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3