European Pro League Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
HYPERSPIRIT#147 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 0:2
INOX Division#66 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
43%71%
HYPERSPIRIT · 10 mapsedge INOX Division +28%INOX Division · 13 maps
NukeHYPERSPIRIT ban
29%70%
HYPERSPIRIT · 3 mapsedge INOX Division +41%INOX Division · 16 maps
AnubisINOX Division ban
36%44%
HYPERSPIRIT · 7 mapsedge INOX Division +8%INOX Division · 5 maps
InfernoHYPERSPIRIT ban
40%53%
HYPERSPIRIT · 1 mapedge INOX Division +13%INOX Division · 11 maps
OverpassINOX Division pick
33%57%
HYPERSPIRIT · 2 mapsedge INOX Division +24%INOX Division · 10 maps
AncientHYPERSPIRIT pick
67%64%
HYPERSPIRIT · 2 mapsnearly even +3%INOX Division · 7 maps
MirageINOX Division ban
42%50%
HYPERSPIRIT · 8 mapsedge INOX Division +8%INOX Division · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHYPERSPIRIT remove Nuke
2. BanINOX Division remove Mirage
3. PickHYPERSPIRIT take Ancient
4. PickINOX Division take Overpass
5. BanINOX Division remove Anubis
6. BanHYPERSPIRIT remove Inferno
DeciderDust2 (43% / 71%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct11:13
HYPERSPIRIT 34%INOX Division 66%
The model gave 66% on INOX Division — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Dust2prediction correct3:13
HYPERSPIRIT 26%INOX Division 74%
The model gave 74% on INOX Division — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Model check result
Model favoriteINOX Division · 74%
Series resultINOX Division 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2