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CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Iberian Soul#57 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:0
NAVI Junior#127 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageNAVI Junior pick
50%76%
Iberian Soul · 4 mapsedge NAVI Junior +26%NAVI Junior · 17 maps
Ancientpossible decider
50%33%
Iberian Soul · 10 mapsedge Iberian Soul +17%NAVI Junior · 8 maps
Dust2Iberian Soul ban
50%42%
Iberian Soul · 0 mapsedge Iberian Soul +8%NAVI Junior · 15 maps
NukeIberian Soul ban
50%38%
Iberian Soul · 2 mapsedge Iberian Soul +12%NAVI Junior · 9 maps
AnubisNAVI Junior ban
60%54%
Iberian Soul · 1 mapedge Iberian Soul +6%NAVI Junior · 9 maps
InfernoIberian Soul pick
60%33%
Iberian Soul · 6 mapsedge Iberian Soul +27%NAVI Junior · 2 maps
CacheNAVI Junior ban
33%33%
Iberian Soul · 5 mapsnearly even +0%NAVI Junior · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanIberian Soul remove Dust2
2. BanNAVI Junior remove Cache
3. PickIberian Soul take Inferno
4. PickNAVI Junior take Mirage
5. BanNAVI Junior remove Anubis
6. BanIberian Soul remove Nuke
DeciderAncient (50% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct16:12
Iberian Soul 69%NAVI Junior 31%
The model gave 69% on Iberian Soul — the map was taken by Iberian Soul.
Mirageprediction missed13:5
Iberian Soul 22%NAVI Junior 78%
The model gave 78% on NAVI Junior — the map was taken by Iberian Soul.
Model check result
Model favoriteIberian Soul · 65%
Series resultIberian Soul 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2