CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
Iberian Soul#57 in the world · win 2:0series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Noir Verse#124 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientNoir Verse ban
50%55%
Iberian Soul · 12 mapsedge Noir Verse +5%Noir Verse · 16 maps
MirageNoir Verse pick
50%58%
Iberian Soul · 8 mapsedge Noir Verse +8%Noir Verse · 20 maps
Anubispossible decider
57%45%
Iberian Soul · 3 mapsedge Iberian Soul +12%Noir Verse · 18 maps
CacheIberian Soul ban
27%50%
Iberian Soul · 7 mapsedge Noir Verse +23%Noir Verse · 14 maps
Dust2Iberian Soul ban
50%50%
Iberian Soul · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Noir Verse · 20 maps
NukeNoir Verse ban
70%50%
Iberian Soul · 6 mapsedge Iberian Soul +20%Noir Verse · 12 maps
DefaultIberian Soul pick
50%41%
Iberian Soul · 0 mapsedge Iberian Soul +9%Noir Verse · 13 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanIberian Soul remove Dust2
2. BanNoir Verse remove Nuke
3. PickIberian Soul take Default
4. PickNoir Verse take Mirage
5. BanNoir Verse remove Ancient
6. BanIberian Soul remove Cache
DeciderAnubis (57% / 45%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:3
Iberian Soul 42%Noir Verse 58%
The model gave 58% on Noir Verse — the map was taken by Iberian Soul.
Nukeprediction correct13:10
Iberian Soul 72%Noir Verse 28%
The model gave 72% on Iberian Soul — the map was taken by Iberian Soul.
Model check result
Model favoriteIberian Soul · 67%
Series resultIberian Soul 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2