Digital Crusade DraculaN Season 7 · BO1
result vs prediction
Iberian Soul#57 in the world · win 13:8series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 13:8
Sashi#97 in the world · loss 8:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Nukepossible decider
67%52%
Iberian Soul · 8 mapsedge Iberian Soul +15%Sashi · 19 maps
CacheIberian Soul ban
33%60%
Iberian Soul · 8 mapsedge Sashi +27%Sashi · 16 maps
AncientSashi ban
53%43%
Iberian Soul · 13 mapsedge Iberian Soul +10%Sashi · 10 maps
InfernoSashi ban
57%50%
Iberian Soul · 10 mapsedge Iberian Soul +7%Sashi · 10 maps
MirageSashi ban
53%33%
Iberian Soul · 11 mapsedge Iberian Soul +20%Sashi · 2 maps
Dust2Iberian Soul ban
50%40%
Iberian Soul · 0 mapsedge Iberian Soul +10%Sashi · 11 maps
AnubisIberian Soul ban
57%67%
Iberian Soul · 3 mapsedge Sashi +10%Sashi · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanIberian Soul remove Dust2
2. BanSashi remove Mirage
3. BanIberian Soul remove Cache
4. BanSashi remove Ancient
5. BanIberian Soul remove Anubis
6. BanSashi remove Inferno
DeciderNuke (67% / 52%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:8
Iberian Soul 57%Sashi 43%
The model gave 57% on Iberian Soul — the map was taken by Iberian Soul.
Model check result
Model favoriteIberian Soul · 63%
Series resultIberian Soul 13:8
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1