CCT 2026 South America Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Imperial#51 in the world · win 2:0series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
ALKA#129 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Imperial pick
62%63%
Imperial · 9 mapsnearly even -1%ALKA · 4 maps
Infernopossible decider
64%57%
Imperial · 7 mapsedge Imperial +7%ALKA · 3 maps
MirageALKA ban
44%50%
Imperial · 5 mapsedge ALKA +6%ALKA · 4 maps
AnubisALKA ban
56%40%
Imperial · 5 mapsedge Imperial +16%ALKA · 1 map
NukeALKA pick
50%63%
Imperial · 2 mapsedge ALKA +13%ALKA · 4 maps
AncientImperial ban
50%71%
Imperial · 0 mapsedge ALKA +21%ALKA · 3 maps
OverpassImperial ban
50%60%
Imperial · 2 mapsedge ALKA +10%ALKA · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanImperial remove Ancient
2. BanALKA remove Anubis
3. PickImperial take Dust2
4. PickALKA take Nuke
5. BanALKA remove Mirage
6. BanImperial remove Overpass
DeciderInferno (64% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:10
Imperial 47%ALKA 53%
The model gave 53% on ALKA — the map was taken by Imperial.
Nukeprediction missed13:11
Imperial 35%ALKA 65%
The model gave 65% on ALKA — the map was taken by Imperial.
Model check result
Model favoriteImperial · 57%
Series resultImperial 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2