CCT 2026 South America Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Imperial#51 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 1:2
BESTIA Academy#172 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoImperial pick
76%63%
Imperial · 13 mapsedge Imperial +13%BESTIA Academy · 12 maps
Dust2possible decider
56%38%
Imperial · 12 mapsedge Imperial +18%BESTIA Academy · 9 maps
MirageBESTIA Academy ban
61%60%
Imperial · 14 mapsnearly even +1%BESTIA Academy · 6 maps
NukeBESTIA Academy pick
67%63%
Imperial · 8 mapsnearly even +4%BESTIA Academy · 4 maps
AncientImperial ban
50%38%
Imperial · 0 mapsedge Imperial +12%BESTIA Academy · 9 maps
AnubisBESTIA Academy ban
55%50%
Imperial · 7 mapsedge Imperial +5%BESTIA Academy · 0 maps
CacheImperial ban
56%50%
Imperial · 5 mapsedge Imperial +6%BESTIA Academy · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanImperial remove Ancient
2. BanBESTIA Academy remove Anubis
3. PickImperial take Inferno
4. PickBESTIA Academy take Nuke
5. BanBESTIA Academy remove Mirage
6. BanImperial remove Cache
DeciderDust2 (56% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:4
Imperial 54%BESTIA Academy 46%
The model gave 54% on Imperial — the map was taken by Imperial.
Dust2prediction missed11:13
Imperial 65%BESTIA Academy 35%
The model gave 65% on Imperial — the map was taken by BESTIA Academy.
Infernoprediction missed8:13
Imperial 66%BESTIA Academy 34%
The model gave 66% on Imperial — the map was taken by BESTIA Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteImperial · 73%
Series resultBESTIA Academy 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3