FERJEE In House Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Imperial#51 in the world · win 2:0series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Bounty Hunters#74 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageImperial pick
70%52%
Imperial · 23 mapsedge Imperial +18%Bounty Hunters · 21 map
CacheBounty Hunters pick
65%56%
Imperial · 13 mapsedge Imperial +9%Bounty Hunters · 21 map
Nukepossible decider
70%58%
Imperial · 19 mapsedge Imperial +12%Bounty Hunters · 15 maps
InfernoBounty Hunters ban
66%50%
Imperial · 25 mapsedge Imperial +16%Bounty Hunters · 0 maps
Dust2Bounty Hunters ban
56%43%
Imperial · 14 mapsedge Imperial +13%Bounty Hunters · 10 maps
AnubisImperial ban
58%58%
Imperial · 8 mapsnearly even +0%Bounty Hunters · 8 maps
AncientImperial ban
50%35%
Imperial · 0 mapsedge Imperial +15%Bounty Hunters · 13 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanImperial remove Ancient
2. BanBounty Hunters remove Inferno
3. PickImperial take Mirage
4. PickBounty Hunters take Cache
5. BanBounty Hunters remove Dust2
6. BanImperial remove Anubis
DeciderNuke (70% / 58%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:9
Imperial 66%Bounty Hunters 34%
The model gave 66% on Imperial — the map was taken by Imperial.
Nukeprediction correct13:7
Imperial 65%Bounty Hunters 35%
The model gave 65% on Imperial — the map was taken by Imperial.
Model check result
Model favoriteImperial · 76%
Series resultImperial 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2