CCT 2026 South America Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Imperial#51 in the world · win 2:0series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Isurus#186 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Imperial pick
62%53%
Imperial · 9 mapsedge Imperial +9%Isurus · 15 maps
MirageIsurus pick
50%58%
Imperial · 6 mapsedge Isurus +8%Isurus · 8 maps
Infernopossible decider
64%50%
Imperial · 7 mapsedge Imperial +14%Isurus · 6 maps
AncientImperial ban
50%50%
Imperial · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Isurus · 8 maps
NukeIsurus ban
57%56%
Imperial · 3 mapsnearly even +1%Isurus · 5 maps
AnubisIsurus ban
56%50%
Imperial · 5 mapsedge Imperial +6%Isurus · 0 maps
OverpassImperial ban
50%43%
Imperial · 2 mapsedge Imperial +7%Isurus · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanImperial remove Ancient
2. BanIsurus remove Anubis
3. PickImperial take Dust2
4. PickIsurus take Mirage
5. BanIsurus remove Nuke
6. BanImperial remove Overpass
DeciderInferno (64% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:8
Imperial 45%Isurus 55%
The model gave 55% on Isurus — the map was taken by Imperial.
Nukeprediction missed13:11
Imperial 49%Isurus 51%
The model gave 51% on Isurus — the map was taken by Imperial.
Model check result
Model favoriteImperial · 63%
Series resultImperial 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2