BetBoom Storm Season 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Imperial#51 in the world · win 2:0series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Isurus#186 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageImperial pick
61%54%
Imperial · 14 mapsedge Imperial +7%Isurus · 9 maps
Dust2Isurus pick
55%67%
Imperial · 7 mapsedge Isurus +12%Isurus · 14 maps
Infernopossible decider
63%46%
Imperial · 12 mapsedge Imperial +17%Isurus · 9 maps
NukeIsurus ban
69%42%
Imperial · 12 mapsedge Imperial +27%Isurus · 8 maps
CacheImperial ban
56%71%
Imperial · 5 mapsedge Isurus +15%Isurus · 3 maps
AncientImperial ban
50%45%
Imperial · 0 mapsedge Imperial +5%Isurus · 7 maps
AnubisIsurus ban
57%50%
Imperial · 3 mapsedge Imperial +7%Isurus · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanImperial remove Ancient
2. BanIsurus remove Anubis
3. PickImperial take Mirage
4. PickIsurus take Dust2
5. BanIsurus remove Nuke
6. BanImperial remove Cache
DeciderInferno (63% / 46%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:1
Imperial 31%Isurus 69%
The model gave 69% on Isurus — the map was taken by Imperial.
Infernoprediction correct13:4
Imperial 69%Isurus 31%
The model gave 69% on Imperial — the map was taken by Imperial.
Model check result
Model favoriteImperial · 77%
Series resultImperial 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2