FERJEE In House Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Imperial#51 in the world · win 2:0series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Juventus#191 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoImperial pick
64%50%
Imperial · 24 mapsedge Imperial +14%Juventus · 0 maps
MirageJuventus ban
70%50%
Imperial · 23 mapsedge Imperial +20%Juventus · 0 maps
NukeJuventus ban
68%50%
Imperial · 18 mapsedge Imperial +18%Juventus · 0 maps
Dust2Imperial ban
56%50%
Imperial · 14 mapsedge Imperial +6%Juventus · 0 maps
CacheImperial ban
63%50%
Imperial · 12 mapsedge Imperial +13%Juventus · 0 maps
AnubisJuventus pick
55%50%
Imperial · 7 mapsedge Imperial +5%Juventus · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanImperial remove Dust2
2. BanJuventus remove Mirage
3. PickImperial take Inferno
4. PickJuventus take Anubis
5. BanJuventus remove Nuke
6. BanImperial remove Cache
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct13:6
Imperial 52%Juventus 48%
The model gave 52% on Imperial — the map was taken by Imperial.
Nukeprediction correct13:3
Imperial 71%Juventus 29%
The model gave 71% on Imperial — the map was taken by Imperial.
Model check result
Model favoriteImperial · 74%
Series resultImperial 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2