Gamers Club Masters VII · BO3
result vs prediction
Imperial#50 in the world · win 2:0series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageImperial pick
67%62%
Imperial · 20 mapsedge Imperial +5%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 9 maps
Dust2Imperial ban
67%53%
Imperial · 14 mapsedge Imperial +14%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 11 maps
Infernopossible decider
54%50%
Imperial · 20 mapsnearly even +4%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 4 maps
CacheQUINTESSÊNCIA pick
69%77%
Imperial · 12 mapsedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +8%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 9 maps
NukeQUINTESSÊNCIA ban
71%60%
Imperial · 17 mapsedge Imperial +11%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 1 map
AnubisQUINTESSÊNCIA ban
64%43%
Imperial · 10 mapsedge Imperial +21%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 3 maps
AncientImperial ban
50%36%
Imperial · 0 mapsedge Imperial +14%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 10 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanImperial remove Ancient
2. BanQUINTESSÊNCIA remove Nuke
3. PickImperial take Mirage
4. PickQUINTESSÊNCIA take Cache
5. BanQUINTESSÊNCIA remove Anubis
6. BanImperial remove Dust2
DeciderInferno (54% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:5
Imperial 37%QUINTESSÊNCIA 63%
The model gave 63% on QUINTESSÊNCIA — the map was taken by Imperial.
Infernoprediction correct13:7
Imperial 57%QUINTESSÊNCIA 43%
The model gave 57% on Imperial — the map was taken by Imperial.
Model check result
Model favoriteImperial · 77%
Series resultImperial 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2