StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 South America Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Imperial#51 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 1:2
ShindeN#77 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoShindeN pick
71%70%
Imperial · 13 mapsnearly even +1%ShindeN · 6 maps
MirageImperial pick
59%50%
Imperial · 13 mapsedge Imperial +9%ShindeN · 4 maps
Dust2Imperial ban
53%67%
Imperial · 11 mapsedge ShindeN +14%ShindeN · 2 maps
NukeShindeN ban
73%33%
Imperial · 7 mapsedge Imperial +40%ShindeN · 5 maps
Cachepossible decider
56%33%
Imperial · 5 mapsedge Imperial +23%ShindeN · 2 maps
AncientImperial ban
50%60%
Imperial · 0 mapsedge ShindeN +10%ShindeN · 6 maps
AnubisShindeN ban
56%50%
Imperial · 5 mapsedge Imperial +6%ShindeN · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanImperial remove Ancient
2. BanShindeN remove Anubis
3. PickImperial take Mirage
4. PickShindeN take Inferno
5. BanShindeN remove Nuke
6. BanImperial remove Dust2
DeciderCache (56% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed14:16
Imperial 62%ShindeN 38%
The model gave 62% on Imperial — the map was taken by ShindeN.
Nukeprediction correct13:9
Imperial 83%ShindeN 17%
The model gave 83% on Imperial — the map was taken by Imperial.
Infernoprediction missed9:13
Imperial 51%ShindeN 49%
The model gave 51% on Imperial — the map was taken by ShindeN.
Model check result
Model favoriteImperial · 58%
Series resultShindeN 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3