Circuit X Curitiba Season 4 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Imperial#51 in the worldseries probability
61%39%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Turma do Pagode#91 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Imperial ban
65%45%
Imperial · 13 mapsedge Imperial +20%Turma do Pagode · 18 maps
Infernopossible decider
52%56%
Imperial · 21 mapnearly even -4%Turma do Pagode · 5 maps
AncientImperial ban
50%69%
Imperial · 0 mapsedge Turma do Pagode +19%Turma do Pagode · 25 maps
MirageTurma do Pagode ban
68%56%
Imperial · 18 mapsedge Imperial +12%Turma do Pagode · 5 maps
NukeImperial pick
70%44%
Imperial · 16 mapsedge Imperial +26%Turma do Pagode · 5 maps
AnubisTurma do Pagode ban
64%43%
Imperial · 7 mapsedge Imperial +21%Turma do Pagode · 10 maps
CacheTurma do Pagode pick
64%67%
Imperial · 10 mapsnearly even -3%Turma do Pagode · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanImperial remove Ancient
2. BanTurma do Pagode remove Mirage
3. PickImperial take Nuke
4. PickTurma do Pagode take Cache
5. BanTurma do Pagode remove Anubis
6. BanImperial remove Dust2
DeciderInferno (52% / 56%)