ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 1 · BO3
pre-match predictionseries probability
39%61%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Chicken Coop#188 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Infernopossible decider
50%58%
Incognito · 0 mapsedge Chicken Coop +8%Chicken Coop · 8 maps
Dust2Incognito pick
50%50%
Incognito · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Chicken Coop · 6 maps
OverpassChicken Coop pick
50%67%
Incognito · 0 mapsedge Chicken Coop +17%Chicken Coop · 5 maps
AncientIncognito ban
50%75%
Incognito · 0 mapsedge Chicken Coop +25%Chicken Coop · 4 maps
NukeChicken Coop ban
50%50%
Incognito · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Chicken Coop · 4 maps
AnubisChicken Coop ban
50%40%
Incognito · 0 mapsedge Incognito +10%Chicken Coop · 1 map
DefaultIncognito ban
50%60%
Incognito · 0 mapsedge Chicken Coop +10%Chicken Coop · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanIncognito remove Ancient
2. BanChicken Coop remove Anubis
3. PickIncognito take Dust2
4. PickChicken Coop take Overpass
5. BanChicken Coop remove Nuke
6. BanIncognito remove Default
DeciderInferno (50% / 58%)