Tipsport Open Cup 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
INFINITE Talentloss 0:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Optibet#221 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientINFINITE Talent ban
40%50%
INFINITE Talent · 1 mapedge Optibet +10%Optibet · 2 maps
AnubisOptibet pick
40%50%
INFINITE Talent · 1 mapedge Optibet +10%Optibet · 2 maps
CacheOptibet ban
50%50%
INFINITE Talent · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Optibet · 0 maps
Dust2INFINITE Talent pick
60%50%
INFINITE Talent · 1 mapedge INFINITE Talent +10%Optibet · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanINFINITE Talent remove Ancient
2. BanOptibet remove Cache
3. PickINFINITE Talent take Dust2
4. PickOptibet take Anubis
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct9:13
INFINITE Talent 43%Optibet 57%
The model gave 57% on Optibet — the map was taken by Optibet.
Ancientprediction correct7:13
INFINITE Talent 37%Optibet 63%
The model gave 63% on Optibet — the map was taken by Optibet.
Model check result
Model favoriteINFINITE Talent · 51%
Series resultOptibet 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 2