NODWIN Clutch Series 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
INFINITE#78 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BRUTE#89 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2BRUTE pick
25%60%
INFINITE · 16 mapsedge BRUTE +35%BRUTE · 16 maps
MirageINFINITE pick
56%58%
INFINITE · 14 mapsnearly even -2%BRUTE · 15 maps
NukeINFINITE ban
36%62%
INFINITE · 7 mapsedge BRUTE +26%BRUTE · 9 maps
AncientBRUTE ban
41%33%
INFINITE · 13 mapsedge INFINITE +8%BRUTE · 2 maps
AnubisINFINITE ban
50%44%
INFINITE · 0 mapsedge INFINITE +6%BRUTE · 14 maps
Cachepossible decider
50%64%
INFINITE · 6 mapsedge BRUTE +14%BRUTE · 7 maps
InfernoBRUTE ban
36%60%
INFINITE · 7 mapsedge BRUTE +24%BRUTE · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanINFINITE remove Anubis
2. BanBRUTE remove Ancient
3. PickINFINITE take Mirage
4. PickBRUTE take Dust2
5. BanBRUTE remove Inferno
6. BanINFINITE remove Nuke
DeciderCache (50% / 64%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct11:13
INFINITE 25%BRUTE 75%
The model gave 75% on BRUTE — the map was taken by BRUTE.
Cacheprediction correct12:16
INFINITE 39%BRUTE 61%
The model gave 61% on BRUTE — the map was taken by BRUTE.
Model check result
Model favoriteINFINITE · 58%
Series resultBRUTE 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 2