Logitech G Play Connect 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
INFINITE#71 in the world · win 1:0series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Eternal Fire#46 in the world · loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageINFINITE pick
50%54%
INFINITE · 14 mapsnearly even -4%Eternal Fire · 9 maps
Dust2Eternal Fire ban
45%50%
INFINITE · 7 mapsedge Eternal Fire +5%Eternal Fire · 8 maps
AncientEternal Fire pick
50%67%
INFINITE · 6 mapsedge Eternal Fire +17%Eternal Fire · 8 maps
NukeINFINITE ban
46%33%
INFINITE · 9 mapsedge INFINITE +13%Eternal Fire · 2 maps
InfernoEternal Fire ban
50%50%
INFINITE · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Eternal Fire · 6 maps
CacheINFINITE ban
50%50%
INFINITE · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Eternal Fire · 6 maps
Defaultpossible decider
71%67%
INFINITE · 3 mapsnearly even +4%Eternal Fire · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanINFINITE remove Nuke
2. BanEternal Fire remove Inferno
3. PickINFINITE take Mirage
4. PickEternal Fire take Ancient
5. BanEternal Fire remove Dust2
6. BanINFINITE remove Cache
DeciderDefault (71% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
INFINITE 56%Eternal Fire 44%
The model gave 56% on INFINITE — the map was taken by INFINITE.
Model check result
Model favoriteINFINITE · 51%
Series resultINFINITE 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1